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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University-0.43+2.75vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-0.48+1.90vs Predicted
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3Grand Valley State University1.18-1.28vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.37+1.47vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-1.37+0.45vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-1.25-0.80vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.98-0.61vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-0.66-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.75Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
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1.72Grand Valley State University1.180.5%1st Place
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5.47Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.45Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
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5.2Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.39Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.12Michigan Technological University-0.660.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Lee | 9.9% | 19.0% | 20.2% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| John Lowry | 10.9% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 6.9% | 2.7% |
| Liam Walz | 54.8% | 27.7% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 17.8% |
| Joshua Spano | 3.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 16.1% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.9% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 14.5% |
| Jacob Pledger | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 41.8% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 9.4% | 14.2% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.