← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Grand Valley State University1.18+0.75vs Predicted
-
2University of Toledo-0.48+1.87vs Predicted
-
3Western Michigan University-1.37+2.40vs Predicted
-
4Western Michigan University-0.43-0.15vs Predicted
-
5Northern Michigan University-1.37+0.42vs Predicted
-
6Michigan Technological University-0.66-1.83vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University-1.25-1.75vs Predicted
-
8Hope College-1.98-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.75Grand Valley State University1.180.6%1st Place
-
3.87University of Toledo-0.480.1%1st Place
-
5.4Western Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
3.85Western Michigan University-0.430.1%1st Place
-
5.42Northern Michigan University-1.370.0%1st Place
-
4.17Michigan Technological University-0.660.1%1st Place
-
5.25Ohio State University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.29Hope College-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Walz | 55.0% | 25.9% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Lowry | 10.7% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Joshua Spano | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 20.4% | 18.6% |
| Austin Lee | 10.1% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 16.8% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Cortney Kingsley | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| Nicholas Irwin | 8.6% | 13.1% | 19.6% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 4.7% |
| Luke LeCoche | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 16.1% |
| Jacob Pledger | 1.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 37.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.