← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+2.94vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University0.93+1.12vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.14vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont0.84-0.52vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.46-0.68vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin1.14-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5612.2%1st Place
-
3.12Cornell University0.9321.6%1st Place
-
2.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2723.1%1st Place
-
3.48University of Vermont0.8415.4%1st Place
-
4.32Princeton University0.468.9%1st Place
-
3.27University of Wisconsin1.1418.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Wood | 12.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 20.9% | 23.9% |
| Boris Bialer | 21.6% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| James Kopack | 23.1% | 23.9% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 6.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 15.4% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 14.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 20.1% | 34.9% |
| Charlie Herrick | 18.7% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.