Race 5B

dave-perry

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Andrew Kurzrok 15.4% 14.5% 18.7% 19.6% 15.8% 11.6% 3.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Hunter Mumma 10.5% 15.4% 19.0% 19.2% 17.9% 11.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Timothy Clark 13.7% 13.7% 14.9% 19.2% 19.4% 12.9% 5.0% 1.1% 0.1%
Nikolas Osvalds 29.2% 25.1% 19.8% 13.0% 8.8% 3.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 23.7% 22.8% 17.6% 14.6% 11.8% 6.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Bogdan Istrate 1.1% 1.7% 2.4% 3.2% 5.2% 10.2% 19.9% 30.7% 25.6%
William Feldman 3.1% 4.0% 3.1% 6.4% 12.3% 22.2% 25.6% 17.6% 5.7%
James Fales 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.1% 6.0% 15.5% 25.8% 24.5% 17.9%
Austen Fiora 1.3% 0.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.8% 6.3% 12.1% 23.3% 50.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.