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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.26+1.05vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.41+1.85vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.30+0.63vs Predicted
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4Hope College-2.27+1.39vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University-2.07+0.01vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-2.13-0.93vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-2.03-2.02vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-2.70-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Toledo-0.260.4%1st Place
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3.85Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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3.63Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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5.39Hope College-2.270.1%1st Place
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5.01Western Michigan University-2.070.1%1st Place
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5.07Ohio State University-2.130.1%1st Place
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4.98Michigan Technological University-2.030.1%1st Place
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6.02Northern Michigan University-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Pribe | 44.6% | 27.6% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nichole Kievit | 12.3% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% |
| David Resnick | 14.9% | 17.4% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Justin Edick | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| Jacob Schott | 6.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% |
| Justin Fischer | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 15.5% |
| Nathan Miller | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% |
| Hunter Bronkema | 2.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 20.2% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.