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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Toledo-0.26+1.21vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-1.41+1.99vs Predicted
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3Hope College-2.27+2.47vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.30-0.16vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-1.00-1.66vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-3.38+0.95vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-2.07-1.80vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-2.03-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.21University of Toledo-0.260.4%1st Place
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3.99Grand Valley State University-1.410.1%1st Place
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5.47Hope College-2.270.0%1st Place
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3.84Western Michigan University-1.300.1%1st Place
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3.34Ohio State University-1.000.2%1st Place
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6.95Northern Michigan University-3.380.0%1st Place
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5.2Western Michigan University-2.070.1%1st Place
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5.0Michigan Technological University-2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Pribe | 40.1% | 27.7% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nichole Kievit | 11.3% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Justin Edick | 4.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 16.4% | 26.8% | 14.9% |
| David Resnick | 12.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Steven Neveadomi | 17.6% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Milkie | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 57.4% |
| Jacob Schott | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 12.2% |
| Nathan Miller | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 18.4% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.