Race 1A

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Peter Lynn 26.4% 21.4% 17.1% 12.2% 9.8% 5.5% 3.6% 1.5% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 6.1% 6.3% 8.4% 8.1% 7.8% 11.8% 8.3% 10.9% 12.6% 9.5% 7.5% 2.4% 0.3%
Henry Sharpe 6.2% 10.2% 8.2% 10.3% 9.6% 10.5% 11.2% 11.6% 8.1% 8.4% 4.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Ethan Andersen 9.7% 8.9% 10.5% 12.5% 11.1% 9.4% 10.0% 9.3% 8.1% 6.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Sean Beaulieu 14.5% 15.3% 13.0% 11.7% 11.4% 10.0% 8.1% 6.7% 4.4% 3.3% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.9% 10.2% 10.5% 10.3% 9.5% 9.1% 7.4% 5.9% 1.3% 0.1%
Joseph Chamberlin 7.1% 7.2% 8.7% 6.5% 8.1% 8.5% 11.4% 11.7% 9.6% 10.5% 7.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Kurran Singh 7.7% 8.9% 9.7% 8.5% 9.9% 11.1% 10.5% 9.7% 9.7% 8.6% 4.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Sofia Marie Mascia 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 9.6% 10.0% 10.6% 10.7% 9.7% 10.0% 8.4% 6.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Noah Brayer 4.6% 3.4% 3.7% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 10.0% 12.7% 15.5% 16.4% 6.8% 1.6%
Joshua Mandelbaum 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 4.3% 3.8% 4.0% 6.6% 5.4% 9.3% 13.9% 25.2% 16.0% 5.5%
Carter Goodell 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 3.8% 8.8% 32.9% 45.5%
Shannon McKeown 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 2.3% 1.9% 3.8% 7.8% 33.5% 46.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.