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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+1.21vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.84+0.51vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.46+0.24vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-1.77vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2725.0%1st Place
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3.21University of Wisconsin1.1420.3%1st Place
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3.51University of Vermont0.8414.1%1st Place
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4.24Princeton University0.469.6%1st Place
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3.23Cornell University0.9319.0%1st Place
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3.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 25.0% | 22.4% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 20.3% | 17.8% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 10.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 14.1% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 14.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 20.6% | 33.1% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.0% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 10.6% |
| Brook Wood | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.