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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.74+2.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.40+0.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+0.63vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13-1.01vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.64-1.25vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.19+0.07vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-0.12vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.33-0.70vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.21-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Vermont2.740.2%1st Place
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2.8Brown University3.400.2%1st Place
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3.63Yale University2.770.2%1st Place
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2.99Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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3.75Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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7.3McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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7.92Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Mumma | 15.1% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 24.9% | 24.7% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 16.2% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 11.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 22.9% | 20.5% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 14.1% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 11.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| William Feldman | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 25.0% | 25.2% | 15.3% | 6.3% |
| James Fales | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 15.2% | 25.3% | 29.2% | 14.7% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 29.6% | 27.0% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 13.0% | 22.2% | 51.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.