Race 3A

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Noah Brayer 3.4% 3.5% 4.8% 5.4% 5.3% 6.4% 8.2% 11.0% 10.9% 14.2% 17.2% 7.6% 2.1%
Kurran Singh 7.3% 8.5% 9.8% 8.3% 9.9% 11.1% 10.2% 10.3% 10.3% 8.0% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4%
Henry Sharpe 7.0% 9.0% 10.0% 9.7% 8.5% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 10.8% 7.4% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 7.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.7% 10.5% 10.3% 11.0% 10.3% 10.1% 7.4% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Sean Beaulieu 15.0% 12.9% 15.0% 11.1% 12.0% 11.4% 7.8% 5.5% 4.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sofia Marie Mascia 8.2% 8.5% 7.7% 10.1% 10.5% 9.6% 10.9% 9.6% 8.3% 9.9% 5.3% 1.1% 0.3%
Ethan Andersen 11.1% 9.4% 10.0% 12.7% 10.9% 9.6% 9.4% 9.0% 7.1% 6.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Joshua Mandelbaum 2.2% 2.8% 1.9% 3.7% 3.7% 2.8% 4.1% 7.2% 9.3% 13.7% 26.7% 16.6% 5.3%
Joseph Chamberlin 6.3% 7.2% 6.5% 9.5% 7.7% 10.7% 9.4% 10.1% 10.3% 11.1% 8.2% 2.4% 0.6%
Carter Goodell 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 3.7% 9.8% 28.2% 47.9%
Shannon McKeown 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 2.3% 4.6% 8.4% 36.2% 42.1%
Peter Lynn 25.5% 23.2% 16.2% 10.3% 10.9% 5.3% 4.5% 2.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Klein 6.0% 5.9% 7.8% 8.6% 8.1% 9.9% 10.7% 10.8% 12.2% 9.7% 7.1% 2.7% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.