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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+2.11vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.66+4.03vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.62+3.15vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+0.63vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.70+0.87vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.47+0.45vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-0.54vs Predicted
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8Amherst College0.89-0.03vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.87-3.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.66-4.01vs Predicted
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12Bates College-1.15-0.18vs Predicted
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13Wentworth Institute of Technology0.30-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Boston College2.900.3%1st Place
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6.03Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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6.15Harvard University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.63Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.87Brown University1.700.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University1.470.1%1st Place
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6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.1%1st Place
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7.97Amherst College0.890.0%1st Place
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5.55Cornell University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island1.660.1%1st Place
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11.82Bates College-1.150.0%1st Place
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9.56Wentworth Institute of Technology0.300.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 26.4% | 22.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Henry Sharpe | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Klein | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 8.6% | 1.2% |
| Ethan Andersen | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Karel Mailloux-Kuz | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Carter Goodell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 10.7% | 25.3% | 50.2% |
| Joshua Mandelbaum | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 23.7% | 20.3% | 8.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 31.8% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.