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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+2.32vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.84+1.49vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.93+0.16vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.05vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.18vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.46-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.32University of Wisconsin1.1417.5%1st Place
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3.49University of Vermont0.8415.2%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University0.9319.1%1st Place
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3.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5612.2%1st Place
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2.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2727.0%1st Place
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4.26Princeton University0.469.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 17.5% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 19.3% | 15.3% | 11.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 15.2% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.1% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 10.1% |
| Brook Wood | 12.2% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 24.3% |
| James Kopack | 27.0% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 6.2% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.