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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.74+2.64vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.77+1.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.40-0.30vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13-1.02vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.64-1.26vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.33+1.27vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.19-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.66-1.11vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.21-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of Vermont2.740.2%1st Place
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3.75Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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2.7Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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2.98Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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3.74Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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7.27McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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6.12Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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7.91Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Mumma | 15.2% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 11.3% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 28.7% | 23.7% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 23.3% | 19.9% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 13.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 20.0% | 30.5% | 25.6% |
| William Feldman | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 23.2% | 25.1% | 17.6% | 5.7% |
| James Fales | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 15.2% | 25.9% | 24.4% | 17.9% |
| Austen Fiora | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 12.6% | 23.2% | 50.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.