← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.59+2.48vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.15+4.94vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.94+1.93vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.41-0.15vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University1.52+0.87vs Predicted
-
6Salve Regina University1.69-0.55vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island1.83-1.91vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28-1.48vs Predicted
-
9Wentworth Institute of Technology0.87-1.29vs Predicted
-
10Bates College-0.11-0.05vs Predicted
-
11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.41-0.51vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University0.27-2.73vs Predicted
-
14University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.48Boston College2.590.2%1st Place
-
6.94Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
-
4.93Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
-
3.85Northeastern University2.410.2%1st Place
-
5.87Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
-
5.45Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
-
5.09University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.1%1st Place
-
7.71Wentworth Institute of Technology0.870.0%1st Place
-
9.95Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.49University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.410.0%1st Place
-
9.27Harvard University0.270.0%1st Place
-
11.43University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Martz | 21.7% | 20.0% | 15.4% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fowkes | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 10.0% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Camille Matile | 18.3% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Brian Baker | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Piotti | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Eley | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Ian Rashleigh McNally | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 17.0% |
| Griffin Brayer | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 18.2% | 23.8% | 23.3% |
| Benjamin Zheng | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 9.0% |
| Isabel Rombult | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 20.7% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.