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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+1.68vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.64+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.74+0.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77-0.53vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.33+2.20vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13-2.99vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-0.08vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.19-1.90vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University-0.21-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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4.0Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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3.47Yale University2.770.2%1st Place
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7.2McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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3.01Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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6.92University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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6.1Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.94Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Osvalds | 29.0% | 23.2% | 19.7% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 10.4% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Mumma | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 17.3% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 28.7% | 25.4% |
| Trevor Burd | 21.2% | 23.8% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 25.9% | 28.7% | 15.6% |
| William Feldman | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 23.9% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 5.9% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.