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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.76vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+1.29vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.84+0.50vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.93-0.79vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-1.03vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.46-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2725.7%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin1.1417.2%1st Place
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3.5University of Vermont0.8416.4%1st Place
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3.21Cornell University0.9319.7%1st Place
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3.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5612.7%1st Place
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4.28Princeton University0.468.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 25.7% | 24.1% | 19.4% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 4.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 17.2% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 16.4% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 14.9% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.7% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 15.8% | 9.4% |
| Brook Wood | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 26.2% |
| Ossian Kamal | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.