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📊 Prediction Accuracy
78.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.12vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.60+4.36vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.88+0.66vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.15-0.78vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80+1.15vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.72+0.32vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.15+1.17vs Predicted
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8Monmouth University-0.46+1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.86+1.15vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College0.34-2.76vs Predicted
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11American University-1.93+1.16vs Predicted
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12Princeton University-1.85+0.04vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-1.62-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland0.45-7.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.5%1st Place
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6.36Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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3.66George Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.22U. S. Naval Academy2.150.2%1st Place
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6.15Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.32Drexel University0.720.0%1st Place
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8.17Webb Institute-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.11Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.24Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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12.16American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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12.04Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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11.51Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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6.77University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 45.1% | 24.9% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Mandell | 14.8% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 17.7% | 23.2% | 21.1% | 15.9% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Wilson | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 2.2% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 18.3% | 18.4% | 13.3% | 5.6% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 25.4% | 35.1% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 21.9% | 33.7% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 17.2% | 23.7% | 22.3% |
| Derek Safieh | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.