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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+1.12vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.88+1.62vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.60+3.49vs Predicted
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4Webb Institute-0.15+4.38vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15-1.66vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80+0.13vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.72-0.99vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.34-0.88vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.62+2.62vs Predicted
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10American University-1.93+2.19vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.45-4.04vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.46-2.84vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.85-1.09vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.86-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.4%1st Place
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3.62George Washington University1.880.2%1st Place
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6.49Washington College0.600.0%1st Place
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8.38Webb Institute-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.34U. S. Naval Academy2.150.2%1st Place
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6.13Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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6.01Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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7.12Ocean County College0.340.0%1st Place
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11.62Rutgers University-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.19American University-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.96University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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9.16Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.91Princeton University-1.850.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cooper | 43.9% | 25.4% | 15.4% | 9.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Mandell | 15.1% | 20.0% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Proud | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Isaac Wilson | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Fleig | 15.5% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Troy Dittenhofer | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Robert Jarrett | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 11.5% | 18.6% | 25.5% | 23.0% |
| Stephen Anderson | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 23.7% | 36.5% |
| Derek Safieh | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% |
| Lucy Norton | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 31.8% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 11.2% | 5.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.