Race 3A

central-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam DiDomizio 29.3% 26.9% 20.7% 14.5% 5.5% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Fleig 17.2% 18.2% 21.9% 18.0% 12.5% 6.9% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Frederick Piasecki 2.8% 3.4% 7.5% 11.4% 13.9% 14.7% 15.6% 12.0% 10.6% 5.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Troy Dittenhofer 2.6% 2.5% 5.8% 6.3% 10.8% 14.4% 13.4% 13.0% 13.3% 10.0% 6.1% 1.4% 0.4%
William Sunkler 4.3% 6.1% 7.9% 11.7% 13.1% 13.6% 14.6% 12.8% 9.3% 4.8% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Henry Proud 2.3% 5.0% 7.7% 8.8% 12.7% 14.8% 13.7% 13.6% 10.2% 7.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Lewis Cooper 36.1% 28.2% 16.8% 11.4% 5.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Derek Safieh 2.5% 4.7% 4.9% 8.2% 11.4% 14.4% 13.3% 14.1% 13.4% 8.2% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0%
George Kevrekidis 1.1% 1.3% 2.3% 3.6% 5.1% 6.0% 7.3% 9.6% 14.7% 22.0% 18.0% 7.2% 1.8%
Isaac Wilson 1.1% 2.4% 3.8% 4.7% 6.7% 7.3% 12.1% 13.3% 15.8% 17.5% 10.4% 3.6% 1.3%
Stephen Anderson 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.3% 4.0% 4.7% 9.3% 21.9% 28.6% 25.3%
Ryan Hallak 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 2.8% 4.7% 8.4% 18.5% 29.2% 29.7%
Robert Cathell 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 2.7% 2.7% 6.5% 14.8% 27.6% 41.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.