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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.06+1.30vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+0.02vs Predicted
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3George Washington University-0.49+3.82vs Predicted
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4American University-1.27+4.72vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.76+2.38vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-1.00+2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.85+0.59vs Predicted
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9Drexel University-0.68-1.78vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-2.32+0.93vs Predicted
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11Monmouth University-0.85-3.34vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.92-4.32vs Predicted
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13Rutgers University-2.45-1.77vs Predicted
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14Washington College1.26-10.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3U. S. Naval Academy2.060.3%1st Place
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2.02St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.4%1st Place
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6.82George Washington University-0.490.0%1st Place
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8.72American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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7.38Washington College-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.03Ocean County College-1.000.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Maryland-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.22Drexel University-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Delaware-2.320.0%1st Place
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7.66Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.68Webb Institute-0.920.0%1st Place
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11.23Rutgers University-2.450.0%1st Place
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3.43Washington College1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Linden | 32.2% | 30.8% | 21.0% | 9.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 41.9% | 29.1% | 18.9% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor West | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Cala Coffman | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Houghton | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Angelina Graham | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Howard | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Elizabeth Jarvie | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Lauren Lee | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 23.0% | 36.9% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Peter Wiley | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| james Trontell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 23.5% | 42.5% |
| Paul Hart | 11.6% | 19.0% | 25.8% | 19.3% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.