Race 3B

central-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Joshua Paper 39.7% 33.2% 16.5% 7.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sean Linden 31.7% 31.2% 20.8% 11.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor West 2.5% 4.0% 5.1% 10.8% 12.5% 11.3% 14.1% 12.5% 11.9% 8.0% 5.4% 1.9%
Ryan Howard 1.0% 1.7% 4.6% 5.8% 11.4% 13.3% 11.9% 10.8% 11.4% 11.4% 10.9% 5.8%
Paul Hart 14.5% 16.8% 26.2% 20.5% 11.1% 6.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Foley 1.6% 2.3% 4.2% 8.4% 9.3% 9.8% 11.8% 11.7% 12.2% 12.2% 11.5% 5.0%
Angelina Graham 1.8% 1.8% 4.1% 7.2% 9.2% 9.5% 11.2% 12.2% 10.5% 13.3% 12.6% 6.6%
Peter Wiley 1.4% 1.9% 5.3% 7.0% 9.3% 9.4% 12.8% 11.1% 11.0% 12.1% 12.9% 5.8%
Cala Coffman 1.5% 1.1% 2.4% 3.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 11.6% 13.3% 12.2% 16.8% 10.9%
Elizabeth Jarvie 1.8% 2.2% 6.2% 8.0% 11.7% 14.6% 11.1% 12.1% 12.1% 9.0% 7.5% 3.7%
Lauren Lee 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.2% 4.6% 3.1% 5.1% 8.5% 15.3% 55.7%
Andrew Houghton 1.8% 3.3% 3.4% 8.4% 10.1% 12.3% 10.4% 13.5% 11.8% 13.3% 7.1% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.