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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+2.97vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.93+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.84+0.53vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.46+0.21vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.14vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.8%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University0.9320.4%1st Place
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3.53University of Vermont0.8415.4%1st Place
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4.21Princeton University0.469.2%1st Place
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2.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2724.8%1st Place
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3.27University of Wisconsin1.1418.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Wood | 11.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 21.1% | 24.7% |
| Boris Bialer | 20.4% | 20.7% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 10.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 15.4% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 17.3% | 18.2% | 15.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 19.5% | 32.3% |
| James Kopack | 24.8% | 21.6% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Charlie Herrick | 18.4% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.