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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.40+1.55vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.74+1.59vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.64+0.72vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.77-0.47vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.66+0.47vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.19-1.18vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.21-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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3.59University of Vermont2.740.1%1st Place
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3.72Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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3.53Yale University2.770.2%1st Place
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3.03Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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6.47University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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5.82Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.28Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Osvalds | 31.5% | 24.7% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 14.5% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 17.7% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Clark | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 18.7% | 13.4% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 15.2% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Burd | 20.7% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| James Fales | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 20.9% | 37.7% | 24.4% |
| William Feldman | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 31.8% | 27.0% | 12.3% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 22.8% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.