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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.99vs Predicted
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2Hampton University3.02+3.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.15+2.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.75vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+3.07vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.60+0.94vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65+2.99vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.17+3.29vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.86+0.37vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.56vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.68-0.93vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.40vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.87-3.67vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74-4.20vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-0.36-0.12vs Predicted
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16Christopher Newport University0.80-3.43vs Predicted
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17Syracuse University-1.58-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.36Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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4.75U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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6.94Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.99Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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11.29Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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6.44SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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10.07Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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8.6SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.33Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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14.88Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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12.57Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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16.44Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.2% | 15.9% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 14.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 1.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Devin Keister | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Alec Bidwell | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 46.3% | 19.5% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 22.9% | 14.6% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Burford | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 15.0% | 74.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.