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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+8.46vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.15+3.08vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.53+1.07vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.72vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.86+3.43vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+1.20vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.17+3.30vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.68+1.08vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-0.08vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.25vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.60-5.23vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.87-3.66vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.80-1.34vs Predicted
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15Syracuse University-1.58+1.32vs Predicted
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16Webb Institute-0.36-0.99vs Predicted
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17Hampton University3.02-11.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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5.08Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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4.72U. S. Naval Academy3.300.2%1st Place
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6.38SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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9.43University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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11.3Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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10.08Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.92Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.75SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.77Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.66Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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16.32Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
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15.01Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
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5.51Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Keister | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Marshall | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 17.0% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Adam DeVita | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 16.5% | 3.4% |
| Miranda Burford | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 15.2% | 73.5% |
| Alec Bidwell | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 45.8% | 20.2% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 10.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.