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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University3.02+4.30vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.41vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.15+2.11vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.53+0.16vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+4.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30-1.20vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.68+2.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.74+1.47vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.62vs Predicted
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10Columbia University1.65-0.13vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.60-4.07vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.86-2.77vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.17-1.39vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.05-5.23vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.80-2.52vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.58+0.42vs Predicted
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17Webb Institute-0.36-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.3Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.41SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University3.150.1%1st Place
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4.16Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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9.08Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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4.8U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.740.0%1st Place
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8.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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9.87Columbia University1.650.0%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Pennsylvania1.860.0%1st Place
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11.61Fordham University1.170.0%1st Place
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8.77SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.48Christopher Newport University0.800.0%1st Place
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16.42Syracuse University-1.580.0%1st Place
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15.02Webb Institute-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Kuester | 13.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Marshall | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 18.6% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 13.6% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Devin Keister | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam DeVita | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Brad Seferian | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Probst | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Capozzi | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 0.6% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Kempton | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 14.3% | 22.5% | 15.2% | 3.1% |
| Miranda Burford | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 15.4% | 74.9% |
| Alec Bidwell | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 45.4% | 20.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.