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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.82vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.93+2.46vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.07+4.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.12vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84+2.77vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+0.72vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.36vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.31-1.68vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.40+0.60vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.15+0.20vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.16-3.98vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.06-1.46vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.95-1.97vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute0.81-2.55vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.99-4.23vs Predicted
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16Syracuse University-1.32-0.15vs Predicted
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17Columbia University-1.32-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.2%1st Place
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4.46Georgetown University2.930.2%1st Place
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7.17Fordham University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.12U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.1%1st Place
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6.72Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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9.36SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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6.32Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.6Fordham University1.400.0%1st Place
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10.2Cornell University1.150.0%1st Place
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7.02Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Pennsylvania1.060.0%1st Place
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11.03SUNY Maritime College0.950.0%1st Place
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11.45Webb Institute0.810.0%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University0.990.0%1st Place
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15.85Syracuse University-1.320.0%1st Place
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15.8Columbia University-1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Easton | 21.8% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Person | 15.1% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eamonn Austin | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Fowkes | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Noah Kelleher | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Egan | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Ellis | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| Ben Hunt | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Alfano | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Emmet Raichle | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 32.2% | 49.0% |
| Charles Johnson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 35.1% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.