Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Bailey Carter 12.5% 12.1% 12.4% 11.6% 10.9% 7.3% 10.3% 6.6% 5.1% 5.4% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Rose Edwards 14.2% 11.8% 14.7% 11.9% 9.2% 8.9% 8.0% 7.4% 5.7% 3.7% 2.3% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Miranda Bakos 11.7% 11.0% 11.0% 11.1% 10.5% 9.9% 9.3% 8.6% 5.5% 3.9% 4.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Bennett 6.2% 7.9% 7.6% 7.9% 8.6% 7.2% 8.5% 10.4% 8.5% 8.6% 8.0% 5.3% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Grace Howie 6.9% 5.4% 7.1% 7.3% 9.5% 9.1% 8.9% 7.0% 10.9% 8.7% 7.9% 5.4% 3.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Carolyn Kearney 7.1% 8.5% 8.5% 9.6% 8.1% 10.3% 8.8% 9.0% 8.1% 6.5% 6.6% 4.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Jessica McJones 8.1% 7.7% 6.4% 7.4% 8.2% 9.7% 8.1% 8.6% 9.1% 10.0% 6.5% 5.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 7.8% 8.1% 7.7% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 7.8% 8.2% 8.9% 9.6% 7.0% 4.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 1.9% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 3.6% 6.1% 7.1% 8.3% 10.8% 15.0% 17.2% 14.0% 3.1%
Katarina Catallo 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 2.4% 3.4% 2.7% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 7.3% 11.9% 14.1% 14.3% 11.5% 6.7% 1.4%
Clara Gravely 1.8% 2.3% 0.9% 2.5% 2.6% 2.4% 2.8% 3.5% 4.6% 5.7% 6.6% 11.1% 14.6% 16.8% 17.2% 4.6%
Gabby Rizika 13.1% 15.2% 12.8% 10.6% 8.8% 9.5% 8.6% 7.9% 5.0% 3.7% 2.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicole Edwards 1.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.7% 3.2% 2.9% 2.7% 4.9% 4.1% 6.1% 7.3% 11.2% 15.0% 17.3% 16.5% 3.3%
Anna Patterson 3.5% 3.2% 3.4% 4.7% 5.2% 6.2% 6.4% 6.1% 8.4% 10.1% 12.1% 10.4% 9.5% 6.5% 3.8% 0.5%
Maura King 1.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 4.8% 9.4% 10.5% 17.7% 30.6% 9.7%
Gaura Mudgal 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.5% 5.4% 9.5% 77.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.