Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Bailey Carter 12.8% 13.0% 11.2% 11.2% 11.0% 7.9% 9.2% 7.7% 6.2% 4.0% 3.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Rose Edwards 14.8% 12.7% 13.0% 10.9% 9.4% 9.7% 7.8% 7.2% 5.8% 4.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabby Rizika 14.5% 12.5% 11.9% 11.8% 10.7% 9.3% 11.1% 5.3% 4.6% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Howie 5.9% 7.7% 6.5% 7.2% 7.4% 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 8.7% 7.9% 8.9% 6.3% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Miranda Bakos 11.5% 10.1% 10.9% 11.8% 10.3% 10.1% 8.4% 8.8% 6.0% 5.4% 3.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Carolyn Kearney 7.1% 8.1% 8.9% 7.9% 10.1% 9.7% 8.4% 9.9% 7.8% 6.5% 6.1% 4.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Jessica McJones 8.3% 7.5% 7.4% 7.1% 7.8% 8.9% 8.5% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 7.9% 5.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Olivia Windemuller 7.5% 8.4% 8.1% 7.4% 8.9% 10.0% 7.7% 8.5% 8.9% 10.5% 5.2% 5.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Madeline DelVescovo 1.4% 2.4% 2.7% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 6.0% 5.0% 9.4% 12.1% 14.7% 15.1% 15.2% 3.6%
Nicole Edwards 1.7% 1.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% 3.2% 2.8% 4.5% 5.4% 8.1% 10.2% 17.7% 18.8% 15.1% 3.3%
Maura King 1.3% 1.5% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 3.3% 4.8% 9.2% 9.7% 16.1% 32.8% 8.6%
Jessica Bennett 6.6% 7.5% 8.5% 9.0% 8.4% 8.1% 6.8% 8.6% 10.1% 9.1% 7.9% 4.4% 3.0% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Anna Patterson 2.7% 4.1% 3.4% 5.0% 4.4% 5.5% 6.1% 7.4% 8.9% 10.1% 10.6% 10.8% 9.8% 8.2% 2.6% 0.4%
Katarina Catallo 2.7% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 3.2% 4.0% 5.6% 6.0% 5.4% 9.4% 10.6% 13.0% 12.9% 11.9% 6.7% 1.3%
Gaura Mudgal 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.3% 2.3% 4.2% 9.2% 78.3%
Clara Gravely 1.2% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.0% 4.4% 5.5% 7.7% 12.4% 14.6% 17.2% 16.2% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.