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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+3.73vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.76+2.83vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.04+3.97vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.98+5.33vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.71vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.58+4.41vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58-2.72vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.14-2.37vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-3.15vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.35-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.59vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.51-1.44vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College0.03-1.32vs Predicted
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15Queen's University0.51-3.36vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Cornell University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.83Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.97Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.88U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
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5.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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11.41Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
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5.28George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.63Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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6.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
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9.12Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
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11.56Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
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12.68SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
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11.64Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
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15.36SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 13.7% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jessica McJones | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katarina Catallo | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.3% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 3.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 13.3% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anna Patterson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.5% | 17.1% | 16.1% | 3.5% |
| Maura King | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 17.4% | 27.2% | 9.5% |
| Clara Gravely | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 4.4% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 10.1% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.