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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University0.93+2.13vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.84+1.47vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.04vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.46-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.14-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13Cornell University0.9319.9%1st Place
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3.47University of Vermont0.8415.8%1st Place
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2.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2725.8%1st Place
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3.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5612.2%1st Place
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4.24Princeton University0.469.5%1st Place
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3.38University of Wisconsin1.1416.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 19.9% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 15.8% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.1% | 14.2% |
| James Kopack | 25.8% | 22.4% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Brook Wood | 12.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 21.6% | 24.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.5% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 33.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 16.8% | 17.8% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 15.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.