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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.74+2.49vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+1.00vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.64+0.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40-1.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.77-1.43vs Predicted
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6Yale University1.19-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-0.52vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.21-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Vermont2.740.2%1st Place
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3.0Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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3.75Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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2.64Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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3.57Yale University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.81Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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6.48University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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7.27Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Mumma | 15.4% | 17.6% | 18.2% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 21.4% | 20.8% | 21.5% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Clark | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 29.2% | 23.8% | 18.3% | 16.5% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 14.2% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| William Feldman | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 29.9% | 28.4% | 11.1% |
| James Fales | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 19.8% | 36.4% | 26.7% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 7.9% | 23.3% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.