← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.76+3.75vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.58+3.32vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.22+3.41vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.77+0.94vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+0.20vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.04+1.07vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.11-0.14vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.14-1.41vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University0.58+2.37vs Predicted
-
10University of Virginia0.98+0.38vs Predicted
-
11Columbia University0.51+0.54vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University2.14-5.29vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.35-3.85vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College0.03-1.32vs Predicted
-
15Queen's University0.51-3.32vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.75Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
5.32George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
-
6.41University of Pennsylvania2.220.1%1st Place
-
4.94Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
5.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
7.07Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
-
6.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.110.1%1st Place
-
6.59U. S. Naval Academy2.140.1%1st Place
-
11.37Drexel University0.580.0%1st Place
-
10.38University of Virginia0.980.0%1st Place
-
11.54Columbia University0.510.0%1st Place
-
6.71Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
-
9.15Christopher Newport University1.350.0%1st Place
-
12.68SUNY Maritime College0.030.0%1st Place
-
11.68Queen's University0.510.0%1st Place
-
15.34SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rose Edwards | 15.0% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 13.1% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Howie | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Bennett | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeline DelVescovo | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 3.6% |
| Katarina Catallo | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 1.6% |
| Nicole Edwards | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anna Patterson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Maura King | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 18.0% | 28.9% | 9.1% |
| Clara Gravely | 1.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 3.9% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.