← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.36vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.69vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University2.76+1.22vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.45vs Predicted
-
5Cornell University2.11+1.09vs Predicted
-
6Christopher Newport University0.76+3.89vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.73+0.13vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University2.19-2.15vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.91vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University1.91-3.27vs Predicted
-
11University of Virginia0.39-0.21vs Predicted
-
13Queen's University0.17-1.49vs Predicted
-
14Drexel University-0.16-1.85vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University0.14-3.64vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook-1.17-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
-
4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
4.22George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
-
5.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
-
6.09Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
-
9.89Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
-
7.13Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
-
5.85Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
-
5.09University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
6.73Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
-
10.79University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
-
11.51Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
-
12.15Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
11.36Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
-
13.69SUNY Stony Brook-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 11.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 12.5% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 16.6% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lola Bushnell | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 6.9% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 7.6% |
| Christina Black | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 7.9% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 23.9% | 17.7% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 17.7% | 8.5% |
| Natalie Cotroneo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.