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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.71vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+3.30vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.11+2.99vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.31+1.46vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76-0.61vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.91+0.66vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.19-1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.87vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia0.39+1.80vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.73-2.79vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.76-1.13vs Predicted
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12Queen's University0.17-0.49vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-1.17+0.84vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.14-2.61vs Predicted
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16Drexel University-0.16-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71U. S. Naval Academy2.560.2%1st Place
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5.3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.1%1st Place
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5.99Cornell University2.110.1%1st Place
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5.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.310.1%1st Place
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4.39George Washington University2.760.2%1st Place
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6.66Old Dominion University1.910.1%1st Place
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5.77Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Virginia0.390.0%1st Place
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7.21Fordham University1.730.1%1st Place
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9.87Christopher Newport University0.760.0%1st Place
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11.51Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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13.84SUNY Stony Brook-1.170.0%1st Place
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11.39Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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11.96Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Slook | 15.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Ungar | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 15.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Groble | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Roney | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 12.2% | 4.2% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kaitlyn Reilly | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Christina Black | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 20.2% | 8.4% |
| Natalie Cotroneo | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 59.6% |
| Antonia Leggett | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 18.7% | 8.6% |
| Haley Clemson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 23.6% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.