← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Eckerd College1.50+11.56vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.72+3.18vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.49+6.54vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.27vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.55+7.65vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.75vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.99+0.87vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.73vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida2.73-0.36vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University2.90-1.90vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.20-3.98vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.23-1.61vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.75-4.48vs Predicted
-
14Yale University3.33-7.63vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.97-3.56vs Predicted
-
16College of Charleston3.37-9.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
12.56Eckerd College1.500.0%1st Place
-
5.18Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.54Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
12.65Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
8.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
7.87Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
6.27University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.64University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
8.1Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.02Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.39Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
8.52Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
6.37Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
11.44University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
-
6.45College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anna Huebschmann | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 29.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 4.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Carina Becker | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 27.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Emma White | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.