Race 5A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Taylor Ladd 7.3% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 6.3% 7.0% 7.6% 7.2% 7.9% 6.9% 8.5% 8.0% 7.1% 4.1% 3.3%
Ragna Agerup 15.3% 15.7% 12.7% 12.0% 10.0% 7.6% 7.4% 5.6% 4.6% 4.0% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Julia Lambert 6.0% 7.3% 7.5% 7.1% 8.3% 7.1% 7.5% 8.9% 8.1% 8.4% 7.3% 6.8% 5.8% 2.7% 1.2%
Dana Rohde 11.4% 11.7% 10.8% 10.5% 8.4% 9.1% 8.6% 7.6% 6.5% 5.4% 3.3% 2.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Alie Toppa 10.4% 10.7% 8.8% 8.3% 9.5% 9.8% 8.7% 9.3% 6.6% 4.5% 5.4% 4.3% 1.9% 1.7% 0.1%
Annie Spence 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 3.7% 2.8% 3.5% 4.7% 3.9% 6.3% 6.4% 8.5% 10.6% 13.0% 15.4% 12.9%
Isabella Loosbrock 10.6% 6.5% 9.3% 8.0% 9.2% 9.0% 10.2% 7.0% 7.2% 6.3% 5.9% 3.6% 4.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Emma White 7.7% 7.5% 8.2% 6.4% 7.3% 8.6% 7.9% 7.1% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 6.8% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4%
Charlotte List 4.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.3% 6.3% 6.9% 5.8% 7.0% 8.2% 10.4% 7.0% 9.4% 10.1% 7.5% 3.7%
Annie Hughes 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.1% 8.2% 6.4% 8.4% 7.2% 9.0% 7.4% 7.7% 7.2% 6.7% 2.7%
Louisa Nordstrom 9.7% 10.6% 11.9% 8.6% 9.0% 7.9% 7.9% 8.0% 5.7% 5.8% 5.2% 4.7% 2.5% 1.8% 0.7%
Sarah Streater 4.4% 5.0% 4.8% 8.0% 6.3% 5.9% 6.3% 8.1% 8.7% 7.8% 10.5% 7.8% 7.2% 6.7% 2.5%
Molly Pleskus 3.4% 3.6% 3.1% 4.3% 4.2% 4.3% 5.3% 4.7% 7.1% 6.4% 8.6% 11.3% 10.7% 12.6% 10.4%
Anna Huebschmann 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.8% 11.1% 18.0% 30.2%
Carina Becker 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.1% 2.3% 2.5% 4.0% 3.6% 5.7% 5.8% 7.8% 10.4% 17.2% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.