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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.74+2.49vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+1.01vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+0.53vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40-1.35vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.64-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.66+0.45vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.19-1.17vs Predicted
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8Wesleyan University-0.21-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49University of Vermont2.740.2%1st Place
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3.01Boston University3.130.2%1st Place
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3.53Yale University2.770.2%1st Place
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2.65Brown University3.400.3%1st Place
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3.75Connecticut College2.640.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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5.83Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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7.28Wesleyan University-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Mumma | 15.4% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Burd | 21.6% | 21.2% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Kurzrok | 15.4% | 16.3% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 29.2% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Timothy Clark | 12.8% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 21.5% | 12.5% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| James Fales | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 20.7% | 37.6% | 24.4% |
| William Feldman | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 32.6% | 27.3% | 12.2% |
| Austen Fiora | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 7.6% | 22.7% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.