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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.84+1.49vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+0.89vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.93-0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.14-1.67vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.46-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2725.6%1st Place
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3.49University of Vermont0.8415.0%1st Place
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3.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5612.6%1st Place
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3.16Cornell University0.9320.3%1st Place
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3.33University of Wisconsin1.1417.9%1st Place
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4.3Princeton University0.468.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 25.6% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 15.0% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 17.1% | 14.9% |
| Brook Wood | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 20.5% | 23.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 20.3% | 19.4% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 9.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 17.9% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 11.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.