Race 2B

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Hana Zwick 1.5% 3.3% 4.1% 4.4% 3.9% 4.3% 5.3% 4.4% 4.0% 5.1% 7.4% 7.3% 7.2% 11.4% 12.4% 14.0%
Lily McGrath 5.0% 7.5% 6.5% 8.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.0% 7.4% 7.5% 6.6% 7.1% 6.5% 7.3% 5.5% 5.2% 3.0%
Audrey Giblin 11.0% 9.6% 9.7% 8.6% 8.9% 8.0% 7.4% 9.0% 8.0% 5.3% 4.1% 3.7% 2.6% 2.2% 1.1% 0.8%
Christine Klingler 14.6% 11.6% 12.3% 10.5% 9.8% 7.8% 8.6% 5.7% 4.6% 5.5% 3.8% 2.1% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Paris Henken 9.6% 12.1% 7.6% 10.8% 9.6% 9.1% 7.0% 6.2% 7.0% 5.8% 5.3% 3.5% 2.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Marina Barzaghi 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 5.3% 6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 5.8% 5.5% 7.4% 6.6% 8.5% 6.6% 7.4% 10.5% 6.9%
Emilia Clementi 4.2% 3.7% 3.3% 4.7% 5.0% 3.0% 5.2% 4.3% 6.1% 5.4% 6.9% 6.7% 9.4% 8.8% 12.9% 10.4%
Madelynn Widmeier 5.0% 5.6% 6.8% 4.6% 5.3% 7.0% 5.9% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 7.1% 8.7% 7.2% 5.7% 6.7% 4.8%
Elizabeth Holiman 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 3.6% 3.9% 5.3% 5.8% 7.6% 9.5% 13.7% 32.1%
Hannah Steadman 12.0% 9.9% 11.5% 7.8% 8.3% 11.0% 9.5% 7.6% 5.3% 5.4% 4.0% 3.4% 2.4% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Christina Sakellaris 6.2% 6.0% 4.7% 5.4% 6.4% 4.8% 5.9% 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 8.3% 6.8% 8.1% 6.6% 6.2% 3.8%
Talia Toland 5.3% 5.5% 4.7% 6.9% 7.5% 5.9% 5.6% 7.0% 5.5% 7.2% 6.9% 7.5% 6.8% 8.0% 5.4% 4.3%
Taylor Gavula 6.0% 7.0% 8.6% 6.4% 6.8% 7.9% 7.9% 6.5% 8.4% 6.9% 5.7% 7.2% 4.6% 4.9% 3.5% 1.7%
Delaney Bamford 6.0% 4.0% 6.4% 5.3% 6.2% 5.9% 6.5% 6.5% 7.9% 8.2% 7.1% 6.5% 8.0% 6.4% 4.9% 4.2%
Greta Farrell 4.6% 4.3% 3.7% 4.2% 4.8% 6.9% 5.6% 5.6% 6.1% 6.6% 7.4% 7.9% 9.7% 8.7% 8.6% 5.3%
Grace Mooradian 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.9% 4.3% 3.9% 4.8% 7.4% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.8% 7.1% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.