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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+5.02vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.38+6.60vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.22vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+5.75vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.65+2.81vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-0.76vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+1.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.62vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-0.49vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.77-0.09vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.28+0.48vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.18-7.25vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-3.22vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.48-6.54vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.40-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.6Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.22Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.75University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.81Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.24Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.62University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.91Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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5.75Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
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8.73Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 14.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 4.9% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 15.1% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 34.6% |
| Hannah Steadman | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 12.4% |
| Lily McGrath | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Talia Toland | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.