← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.16+7.68vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.02vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.06+2.66vs Predicted
-
4Boston University1.79+6.09vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.18+0.52vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.38-1.23vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College1.77+3.10vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.65-0.83vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.40-1.03vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.48-2.17vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston3.09-5.29vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.91vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College1.98-3.29vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.28-2.38vs Predicted
-
15Stanford University2.38-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.68University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
-
8.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
5.66Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.09Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
-
5.52Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
4.77Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
10.1Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
-
7.17Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.97Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.83Boston College2.480.1%1st Place
-
5.71College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
9.71Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
-
11.62University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
-
8.06Stanford University2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 14.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Christine Klingler | 15.6% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 14.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Talia Toland | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Lily McGrath | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Paris Henken | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 30.5% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.