Race 1A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jan Kite-Powell 8.7% 9.6% 12.0% 9.6% 11.0% 12.8% 12.4% 11.1% 7.6% 4.2% 1.0%
James Beatty 21.9% 17.9% 15.7% 11.7% 12.2% 7.6% 6.4% 3.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3%
Brendan Read 10.3% 10.2% 11.2% 10.8% 11.1% 11.8% 10.5% 10.9% 6.9% 5.2% 1.1%
Peter Neal 7.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.8% 9.7% 9.8% 12.3% 12.6% 12.7% 9.6% 3.2%
Jackson Hamilton 9.7% 9.9% 10.7% 10.1% 9.9% 10.4% 11.2% 9.9% 9.8% 6.8% 1.6%
Sam Shannon 9.6% 10.9% 9.8% 10.7% 10.4% 11.3% 10.1% 8.4% 10.4% 6.9% 1.5%
Sam Alexander 12.9% 12.7% 11.3% 11.9% 11.9% 10.6% 9.6% 7.9% 6.1% 4.5% 0.6%
Stephen Duncan 11.6% 11.9% 12.9% 12.5% 9.9% 10.1% 10.2% 8.4% 7.6% 4.2% 0.7%
Catherine Kerner 3.8% 4.3% 3.4% 4.5% 5.7% 6.4% 6.7% 11.1% 16.3% 23.5% 14.3%
Jade Forsberg 1.0% 0.8% 0.6% 2.1% 1.5% 2.3% 2.5% 3.5% 5.7% 13.1% 66.9%
James Amaral 3.5% 4.6% 5.3% 7.3% 6.7% 6.9% 8.1% 12.4% 14.8% 21.6% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.