Race 5A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jan Kite-Powell 8.2% 11.0% 10.8% 9.9% 11.5% 11.9% 12.7% 10.6% 7.8% 4.4% 1.2%
James Beatty 22.3% 17.7% 16.5% 12.7% 10.0% 8.4% 5.2% 4.4% 2.5% 0.1% 0.2%
Sam Alexander 11.4% 10.2% 11.3% 11.2% 10.0% 12.6% 10.7% 9.2% 8.7% 4.1% 0.6%
Brendan Read 10.4% 10.2% 9.7% 12.2% 11.9% 10.6% 10.6% 8.8% 8.4% 5.6% 1.6%
Jackson Hamilton 10.0% 9.5% 9.8% 10.4% 11.2% 9.3% 10.6% 11.1% 9.0% 7.3% 1.8%
Sam Shannon 10.0% 10.8% 9.8% 11.2% 10.7% 10.1% 10.3% 9.8% 9.4% 6.3% 1.6%
Peter Neal 8.0% 8.2% 10.2% 8.7% 10.9% 9.6% 9.9% 12.4% 10.9% 8.4% 2.8%
James Amaral 4.5% 4.3% 4.0% 6.9% 6.2% 7.5% 9.7% 10.2% 15.2% 22.3% 9.2%
Stephen Duncan 10.6% 12.4% 12.2% 11.3% 9.2% 10.4% 11.1% 8.4% 8.1% 4.7% 1.6%
Catherine Kerner 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 4.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.1% 12.1% 14.1% 26.1% 10.7%
Jade Forsberg 0.8% 1.3% 0.9% 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 3.0% 5.9% 10.7% 68.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.