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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+7.17vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.25+5.79vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+4.90vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.13vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.56vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.61+4.87vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.53+8.69vs Predicted
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8Washington College3.65+2.38vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.69+1.31vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.16-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.62-0.25vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.93vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.84-2.93vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.93-4.77vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.31-2.84vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.33-8.49vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.70-6.89vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-6.58vs Predicted
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19University of Washington2.13-2.41vs Predicted
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20Stanford University2.90-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.79Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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7.9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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8.13Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.87Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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15.69Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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10.38Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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11.07SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.07Salve Regina University3.840.0%1st Place
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9.23College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.16University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
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7.51Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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16.59University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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14.02Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| William Brown | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alan Alkins | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 19.0% | 22.4% |
| Michael Whitford | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| David Hernandez | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Martin Sterling | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Clancy | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Scott Furnary | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.5% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 14.6% | 40.0% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.