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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.81vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.14+1.32vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.46+1.25vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56-0.10vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.93-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.84-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2725.4%1st Place
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3.32University of Wisconsin1.1417.9%1st Place
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4.25Princeton University0.469.4%1st Place
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3.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.0%1st Place
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3.19Cornell University0.9320.8%1st Place
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3.54University of Vermont0.8415.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 25.4% | 22.4% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 5.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 17.9% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 12.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 32.9% |
| Brook Wood | 11.0% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 20.6% | 22.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 20.8% | 17.8% | 19.6% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
| Cooper Smith | 15.4% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.