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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.06+6.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University4.52+4.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.96vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+2.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.63+4.46vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78-0.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.70+2.37vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84+4.15vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.89-3.74vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.93+2.08vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.66-1.29vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.19-4.47vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.89-0.62vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-4.24vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.92-6.45vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.09vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.62-8.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.8Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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9.46Boston University3.630.0%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.37Tufts University3.700.0%1st Place
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12.15Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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5.26Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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7.53Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.38Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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8.55Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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14.91Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Williams | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Fred Strammer | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Perkins | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.7% |
| Cy Thompson | 11.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Massimo Soriano | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 14.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Simmons | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 11.7% |
| Michael Marshall | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 11.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Graham Philpot | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 49.9% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.