Race 7A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Beatty 19.2% 19.1% 13.5% 13.5% 12.5% 10.4% 4.9% 4.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Stephen Duncan 11.1% 11.3% 12.2% 11.9% 11.1% 10.8% 10.3% 8.6% 7.8% 4.1% 0.8%
Sam Shannon 9.5% 8.5% 10.5% 10.4% 9.6% 10.1% 11.8% 12.2% 9.5% 6.4% 1.5%
Jan Kite-Powell 9.9% 8.4% 10.3% 10.9% 10.5% 13.1% 11.7% 10.6% 7.8% 5.3% 1.5%
Peter Neal 7.7% 9.4% 8.5% 7.5% 9.7% 9.1% 10.4% 12.8% 12.3% 10.0% 2.6%
Sam Alexander 11.3% 12.1% 11.9% 10.4% 11.7% 10.7% 10.1% 9.0% 6.4% 5.5% 0.9%
Brendan Read 13.1% 11.6% 11.6% 11.3% 10.6% 10.8% 10.5% 9.4% 5.6% 4.9% 0.6%
Jackson Hamilton 10.2% 9.8% 11.6% 11.2% 9.6% 10.7% 10.4% 8.7% 9.9% 6.6% 1.3%
Catherine Kerner 3.2% 4.7% 3.5% 4.2% 6.1% 6.1% 7.3% 10.5% 17.0% 23.1% 14.3%
Jade Forsberg 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 2.2% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 5.8% 12.4% 67.6%
James Amaral 4.1% 4.4% 5.3% 6.9% 6.4% 6.2% 10.2% 10.6% 16.0% 21.0% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.