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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Alexander 9.6% 12.3% 12.1% 12.6% 12.7% 12.4% 13.3% 9.3% 4.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Stephen Duncan 12.0% 12.3% 11.8% 12.0% 12.1% 12.7% 10.8% 9.6% 5.1% 1.6% 0.0%
Dakota Northrup 14.9% 14.8% 14.9% 11.4% 13.4% 11.0% 9.1% 7.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
James Beatty 20.4% 17.8% 15.7% 15.1% 11.3% 8.6% 5.4% 4.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Jackson Hamilton 10.2% 10.9% 10.5% 10.6% 10.1% 12.7% 12.3% 10.6% 10.0% 2.1% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 9.8% 10.7% 11.4% 12.3% 11.4% 11.7% 11.9% 9.8% 8.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Jan Kite-Powell 12.2% 11.8% 11.9% 11.7% 12.2% 12.1% 11.0% 9.0% 6.2% 1.9% 0.0%
Ed Lebens 5.9% 4.2% 6.0% 8.5% 7.2% 9.8% 13.3% 16.2% 19.4% 8.7% 0.8%
Catherine Kerner 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 3.6% 7.6% 6.8% 9.1% 17.1% 26.8% 13.3% 3.4%
Jade Forsberg 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 3.2% 5.8% 13.0% 54.0% 15.3%
Noah Stern 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.4% 2.1% 14.3% 80.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.