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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.79+3.79vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+1.20vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38-0.43vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+0.15vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70-2.24vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.89-1.46vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.61-1.69vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College0.24-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.41-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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3.57Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.15Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.05Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University1.890.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.29Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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10.65University of New Hampshire-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Alexander | 9.6% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| James Beatty | 20.4% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Ed Lebens | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 19.4% | 8.7% | 0.8% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 26.8% | 13.3% | 3.4% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 54.0% | 15.3% |
| Noah Stern | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 14.3% | 80.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.