Race 10A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sam Shannon 7.8% 10.8% 11.2% 10.7% 12.2% 13.3% 13.7% 12.1% 6.3% 1.8% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 9.8% 10.2% 11.0% 10.3% 12.1% 13.3% 11.5% 11.5% 7.8% 2.5% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 11.1% 10.9% 13.2% 11.3% 11.4% 12.7% 11.7% 10.3% 6.1% 1.2% 0.1%
James Beatty 20.4% 17.2% 17.2% 13.8% 11.4% 9.1% 5.7% 3.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Dakota Northrup 17.6% 16.1% 12.5% 14.2% 11.8% 8.6% 10.0% 4.9% 3.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 10.4% 11.4% 11.8% 12.8% 12.0% 12.0% 9.9% 10.5% 7.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Stephen Duncan 12.9% 13.6% 12.5% 12.4% 12.4% 10.1% 10.6% 8.4% 5.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 4.2% 3.5% 4.6% 5.6% 7.6% 8.2% 10.3% 15.3% 25.1% 14.3% 1.3%
Ed Lebens 4.5% 5.6% 4.5% 6.7% 7.5% 9.4% 12.8% 15.9% 21.3% 9.8% 2.0%
Jade Forsberg 1.0% 0.5% 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 2.9% 3.2% 5.8% 13.0% 53.1% 15.7%
Noah Stern 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 1.4% 2.5% 13.4% 80.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.