Race 1B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Preston Duclos 10.3% 11.5% 12.7% 12.6% 13.4% 14.1% 10.5% 7.5% 5.0% 1.7% 0.7%
Alexander Tong 21.5% 18.7% 16.2% 15.5% 11.3% 7.5% 5.4% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 6.5% 5.9% 8.2% 9.6% 11.3% 12.1% 11.3% 12.8% 11.4% 9.1% 1.8%
Alexander Baskin 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 3.7% 5.6% 6.5% 8.2% 11.3% 17.3% 23.2% 15.3%
Amina Brown 16.7% 16.0% 14.9% 13.5% 11.3% 10.6% 6.9% 6.4% 2.3% 1.4% 0.0%
Andrew Puopolo 6.6% 7.6% 8.6% 10.3% 9.4% 10.6% 13.1% 13.0% 10.2% 7.0% 3.6%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.4% 4.6% 4.8% 4.9% 7.6% 7.8% 10.7% 10.9% 16.6% 18.0% 9.7%
Lindsey Baab 20.8% 19.8% 16.2% 12.9% 11.2% 8.6% 5.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
River Iannaccone 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 4.3% 5.2% 7.5% 14.9% 57.5%
Peter Girard 6.0% 5.1% 7.6% 8.2% 8.2% 9.3% 12.6% 14.3% 13.5% 10.2% 5.0%
Brian Baker 4.3% 6.1% 5.6% 7.3% 8.2% 10.2% 11.7% 13.0% 13.7% 13.5% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.