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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+3.73vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.42vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.65vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+0.14vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.16+0.87vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.69+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.83-0.57vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-4.54vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.26-1.06vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12-4.20vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.27-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.73Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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7.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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5.87Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.97Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.46Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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7.94Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.58University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.6% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 12.6% |
| Amina Brown | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Brian Baker | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 7.1% |
| Peter Girard | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 21.6% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Baskin | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 23.3% | 16.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 17.4% | 53.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.