Race 5B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Amina Brown 14.5% 16.0% 13.8% 15.1% 13.8% 10.5% 8.4% 4.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Andrew Puopolo 7.3% 6.7% 9.4% 9.1% 10.3% 12.3% 12.4% 12.0% 9.3% 8.6% 2.6%
Peter Christensen 6.9% 7.1% 6.6% 10.1% 10.7% 11.5% 12.4% 12.3% 11.0% 8.6% 2.8%
Preston Duclos 10.6% 11.6% 12.1% 13.6% 13.0% 12.4% 10.2% 8.9% 4.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Alexander Tong 21.0% 20.6% 17.1% 13.7% 8.4% 8.9% 5.7% 2.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Lindsey Baab 20.4% 19.3% 17.3% 12.8% 9.6% 9.1% 4.7% 3.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.7% 4.1% 4.9% 5.6% 7.3% 6.7% 11.0% 12.7% 15.4% 17.2% 10.4%
Peter Girard 5.3% 5.5% 7.5% 7.4% 9.0% 10.3% 11.7% 13.8% 12.9% 12.3% 4.3%
Alexander Baskin 3.3% 3.2% 3.1% 4.2% 6.0% 6.7% 8.3% 11.3% 15.6% 21.4% 16.9%
Brian Baker 4.7% 5.0% 7.4% 6.2% 8.5% 8.7% 11.8% 12.7% 15.6% 13.1% 6.3%
River Iannaccone 1.3% 0.9% 0.8% 2.2% 3.4% 2.9% 3.4% 5.9% 9.0% 14.5% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.