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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+1.75vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.56+2.00vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.46+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.84-0.49vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.14-1.71vs Predicted
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6Cornell University0.93-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.2725.7%1st Place
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4.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.5611.2%1st Place
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4.26Princeton University0.469.1%1st Place
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3.51University of Vermont0.8416.6%1st Place
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3.29University of Wisconsin1.1418.0%1st Place
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3.2Cornell University0.9319.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 25.7% | 24.0% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Brook Wood | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 17.3% | 20.6% | 25.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 9.1% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 21.1% | 32.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 16.6% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 16.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 18.0% | 18.5% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 10.4% |
| Boris Bialer | 19.5% | 18.6% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 14.1% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.