← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Girard 3.9% 5.3% 5.5% 8.1% 8.8% 10.3% 13.2% 13.8% 14.8% 12.1% 4.2%
Alexander Tong 21.6% 20.5% 15.6% 13.6% 10.1% 8.9% 5.0% 3.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Lindsey Baab 18.0% 18.8% 16.2% 14.0% 12.2% 8.5% 6.5% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Amina Brown 15.7% 13.7% 17.2% 11.2% 13.6% 10.3% 7.5% 6.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Brian Baker 4.7% 5.2% 5.2% 8.0% 6.7% 9.2% 11.2% 13.8% 13.5% 14.0% 8.5%
Preston Duclos 12.1% 11.5% 12.9% 12.8% 13.1% 12.4% 9.3% 6.6% 5.9% 2.5% 0.9%
Andrew Puopolo 8.1% 7.0% 9.5% 9.5% 11.7% 10.7% 12.6% 11.4% 9.5% 6.5% 3.5%
River Iannaccone 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 3.9% 5.6% 9.9% 16.5% 53.4%
Alexander Baskin 3.4% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 5.0% 6.4% 8.2% 11.6% 16.5% 21.7% 16.7%
Peter Christensen 8.0% 8.6% 8.0% 11.0% 9.9% 11.8% 13.0% 11.0% 10.1% 6.8% 1.8%
Joseph Chamberlin 2.9% 4.9% 5.1% 7.1% 6.8% 8.0% 9.6% 12.2% 14.7% 18.2% 10.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.