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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+3.65vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.33vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+1.66vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.96-1.09vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.16-0.28vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.69-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-1.73vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.26-1.36vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.34-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.27-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.33Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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4.66Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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3.91University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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5.72Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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6.54Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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7.64Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.97Harvard University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.2University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Tong | 22.5% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 14.9% | 15.0% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 16.7% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Brian Baker | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 1.8% |
| Peter Girard | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Baskin | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 16.1% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 8.1% |
| Juan Crestanello | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 8.8% | 20.3% | 58.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 33.6% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.