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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.73+2.78vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.66+4.05vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+1.22vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02-0.72vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.76vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.65+0.08vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.48-2.90vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10-0.85vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.78-3.07vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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6.05Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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3.28Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.1Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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7.15Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.93University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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9.94Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.71University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Petrovic | 16.6% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.2% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Victoria Marquez | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Julien Guiot | 15.2% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 14.4% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 26.2% | 52.2% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 36.7% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.