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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.66+5.20vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+2.00vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.73+0.88vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.48+0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+0.82vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-0.25vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.65-1.09vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10-0.85vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.02-5.77vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.53-0.23vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-0.68-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.2Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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4.0University of Vermont2.580.2%1st Place
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3.88Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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4.4Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.15Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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3.23Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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9.77University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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9.89Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurran Singh | 4.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 17.5% | 14.6% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 16.4% | 14.5% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 16.0% | 16.6% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.9% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Victoria Marquez | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 21.6% | 14.7% | 3.3% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.8% | 22.4% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 8.6% | 31.5% | 45.2% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 32.0% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.